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基于GIS的中国碳排放时空分布规律研究
  • ISSN号:1009-6094
  • 期刊名称:《安全与环境学报》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:X51[环境科学与工程—环境工程]
  • 作者机构:[1]中国矿业大学环境与测绘学院,江苏徐州221116
  • 相关基金:全国统计科学研究计划项目(2012LY186); 中央高校基本科研业务专项(2011QNB15); 国土环境与灾害监测国家测绘地理信息局重点实验室开放基金项目(LEDM2012B09); 江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(SZBF2011-6-B35)
中文摘要:

利用美国橡树岭国家实验室二氧化碳信息分析中心公布的我国碳排放数据和各省的化石能源消费及水泥产量数据,对1980—2011年我国碳排放时空分布规律进行了研究。结果表明:全国及各省碳排放量呈现明显的阶段分布特征;各省碳排放量的区域差异呈现"高—低—高—低"的变化趋势;地均碳排放强度存在以低值集聚为主的正的空间自相关性,集聚趋势不断变化且在2006年后逐渐稳定;在0.05的显著性水平下,地均碳排放强度最终呈现北京、江苏和浙江的显著性"高—高"区,甘肃、青海、四川、新疆、宁夏和云南的显著性"低—低"区及大量不显著区稳定分布的特点。

英文摘要:

The paper intends to offer the research results of the spatio-temporal distribution statistics of carbon emissions,such as the carbon emissions of the different provinces and regions in the country,the regional difference over the carbon emissions,with the global and local spatial autocorrelation data of the carbon emission intensity per land area in China from 1980 to 2011. We have also worked out the amount of carbon emissions each year over the provinces of China from 1980 to 2011 by using the data of the national carbon emissions and Chinese provincial fossil fuel consumption and cement output published by CDIAC. The results of our calculation data indicate that the carbon emissions of the country both at the national and provincial levels represent obvious phase distribution characteristic features,for example,the slow growth stage from 1980 to 1997,the fluctuant growth stage from 1997 to 2002 and the fast growing stage from 2002 to 2011. The regional difference in the carbon emissions shows a trend from"high to low and then another high to low". In other words,the difference is biggest in 1980 s,gradually increasing when returning to the lowest level in 1999,and then reaching the maximum difference again on the local conditions. What is more,the global spatial autocorrelation has also been found in the carbon intensity per land unit area in the three distinct stages,namely,the fluctuating growth stage from 1980 to 1994,the fluctuant downward stage from 1994 to 2001,and the fast growth phase from 2001 to2011; the carbon intensity per land area shows the positive spatial autocorrelation mainly due to the lowering or downward-falling concentration whose trend is changing and gradually getting stabilized after 2006. Under the significant level of 0. 05,the characteristics of the carbon intensity per land-area eventually shows the significant"high-high"cluster area in Beijing,Jiangsu and Zhejiang,whereas the significant"low-low"cluster areas can be found in Gansu,Qinghai,Sichuan,Xinjiang,Ningxia and

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期刊信息
  • 《安全与环境学报》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国兵器工业集团公司
  • 主办单位:北京理工大学 中国环境科学学会 中国职业安全健康协会
  • 主编:冯长根
  • 地址:北京市海淀区中关村南大街5号
  • 邮编:100081
  • 邮箱:aqyhjxb@263.net;aqyhjxb@wuma.com.cn
  • 电话:010-68913997
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1009-6094
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-4537/X
  • 邮发代号:2-770
  • 获奖情况:
  • 获首届《CAJ-CD》执行优秀期刊奖,中国科技论文统计源期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:17182