根据1994-2004年的人民币实际有效汇率、产品进出口值数据,采用向后回归法并引入调节变量,检验汇率对制造业25个细分行业出口的不同影响。结果表明,汇率的变化对低技术产业出口影响明显,而对技术含量较高产业出口影响不大。
This paper studies the effect on the different industries of manufacturing. With the data from 1994 -2004,and also research the moderate effect of exchange rate,and policy suggestion was given at last.