企业R&D投资面临较大的不确定性,运用传统的投资评估与决策方法存在一定的缺陷,而用实物期权方法研究R&D投资决策活动更加贴近现实。本文将技术不确定性和市场不确定性引入R&D投资价值评估,同时考虑R&D投资和融资决策,说明了它们之间的相互关系。研究表明,R&D债务容量决策影响R&D投资时机决策,而R&D债务容量决策是建立在对R&D投资价值和破产风险综合评判基础上的。同时R&D债务容量只能在一个区间范围内。
Enterprise R&D investment is faced with greater uncertainty. The use of traditional investment evaluation and decision methods has some shortcomings, but researching on R&D investment decision- making activities is mow close to the reality by real option methods. This paper investigates the relationship between the R&D investment and the financing decisions influenced by the technology and market uncertainty. The study has shown that the R&D debt capacity decision influences the R&D investment timing decision. We also find out that making the decision of R&D debt capacity is based upon evaluating its influences on the R&D value and bankruptcy risk comprehen- sively. The R&D debt capacity can only be defined in a certain range.