进口贸易模式对一个国家的经济发展和国际地位都能产生重要影响,进口贸易模式的转变是需要一定条件的。通过考察1980—2015年间日本最终产品进口在总进口中的比重出现大幅度上升、初级产品进口比重大幅下降的现象,即进口贸易模式转型的历程、动因和实现的内在机理,得出产业海外转移、日元升值以及日本国内私人消费的增长是日本进口贸易模式转型的主要动因。其中,产业海外转移是日本进口贸易模式转型实现的基础条件,供求机制是推动日本进口贸易模式转型的根本机制。虽然中国进口贸易模式转型在短期内很难实现,但进口贸易政策的有效管理、最终产品进口所占比例的提升对中国经济发展和对外经贸往来都具有重要意义,中国进口贸易结构的调整也是改善经济供给面的重要内容。
Import trade patterns have the important influence on economic development and international co-operation for one country.The change of import trade pattern also needs certain conditions.This paper exam-ines the main factors of the import trade pattern transformation in Japan from 1980 to 2015.The import propor-tion of final products in total imports jumps sharply,while that of primary products declines sharply.The mainfactors are including industrial transfer abroad,yen appreciation and domestic private consumption growth.The industry transfer abroad is the basic conditions among them.Supply and demand mechanism is the funda-mental mechanism to promote the import trade pattern transformation in Japan.Although it is difficult for theimport trade pattern transformation in China in short time,the effective management of import trade policy,theincrease in the proportion of the final product imports are significant in Chinese economic development and in-ternational economic cooperation.The adjustment of the import trade structure in China is the important con-tent to improve economic supply side.