过去十多年是中国社会经济变化和城市扩张最为快速的时期,城市中外来人口的社会空间问题成为城市研究的重要命题。文章基于"五普"和"六普"数据,以上海为实证对象,运用GIS空间分析法和空间计量模型,揭示外来人口分布空间和社会空间的演变,对上海外来人口社会空间分异中的空间粘性和空间剥夺效应进行量化研究。实证分析表明,转型期上海外来人口的空间分布从2000年集中于中心城区已逐步扩散到整个城区,从2000年到2010年,外来人口仍然是上海最基本的社会空间分异因子。在其社会空间变化过程中,存在空间粘性和空间剥夺两种相互作用的推动力,前者是外来人口空间集聚存在的自我强化效应,后者则是推动外来人口的空间调整的外部动力。
Based on the data of fifth and sixth census, the article studied the spatial distribution, spatial e- volution and driving force of Non-registered population in Shanghai metropolitan area from 2000 to 2010 with u- sing statistics analysis method and space measurement model. The empirical analysis indicates that, the spatial distribution of Non-Registered has extended from central city to whole city from 2000 to 2010 during transforma- tion period in Shanghai. Non-Registered population is one of the basic social space influencing factors. In the process of its social space changing, there are two factors to these changes: spatial sticky and spatial depriva- tion. The former is self-reinforcing effect of the presence of spatial concentration of non-registered population, and the latter is external power to promote the spatial adjustments of non-registered population.