近年来,在全球气候不断变化的影响下,自身气候条件较差的荒漠草原地区更加趋于暖干化。以内蒙古自治区四子王旗荒漠草原上不同苏木和嘎查为例,通过构建有气候变化、有适应性措施的情景,利用家庭牧场优化管理模型,分析牧民应对极端气候应该利用的适应性措施及其所带来的经济效益,帮助牧民缓解因气候变化而带来的困难,并增强牧民适应气候变化的能力,使应对气候变化的适应性行为有效性得到大大增强,以此来降低极端气候灾害对牧区影响的不可预测性。
Under the influence of climate change in recent year, it's becoming warmer and drier in desert steppe. Taking villages in Siziwang Banner, Ulanchabu City, Inner Mongolia as an example, based on different climate change scenario, by using optimal management model for household farms, the adaptive practices to climate change and revenue brought by these practices were analyzed to enhance the ability to adapt changing climate and reduce the unpredictability of extreme weather event affect local farms.