中文摘要：

在系统分析社会经济发展与水利发展之间的互动机理、探讨水利发展的历程演变及其特征表现的基础上,从水资源利用、水环境保护、水生态修复以及水灾害防治4 个维度,系统设计了水利发展进程评价指标体系, 评估了我国水利发展目标综合实现程度,全面剖析了我国水利发展进程中存在的主要问题.结果表明,2010 年水利发展目标综合实现程度为45%,处于自然水生态赤字开始缩小期;预计水利发展目标综合实现程度在2015 年末提高到63%,2030 年提高到92%,实现局部自然水生态盈余;2050 年我国将进入全面自然水生态盈余期,实现人水和谐,全面建成水利现代化.

英文摘要：

Based on systematic analysis of the mechanisms of interaction between socioeconomic development and water conservancy development, as well as on the evolution and characteristics of water conservancy development, an evaluation index system for water conservancy development was designed systematically from four perspectives, including water resources utilization, water environment protection, water ecological restoration, and water disaster prevention. The integrated implementation degree of water conservancy development ’ s objectives in China is evaluated, and the main existing problems during the water conservancy development process are investigated comprehensively. The results show that the comprehensive implementation degree of water conservancy development’s objectives was 45% in 2010, indicating that the natural water ecological deficit has begun shrink;that the forecasted comprehensive implementation degrees are 63% for 2015 and 92% for 2030, indicating that the local natural water ecological remainder will have begun to appear;and that the overall natural water ecological remainder will be realized in 2050, a human-water balance will be achieved, and water conservancy modernization will be realized.