中文摘要：

从区位交通、资源环境、基础开发及经济社会四个方面出发,构建了中国冰川旅游发展潜力评价指标体系,运用模糊评价赋值与层次分析法,对中国冰川区32个地州市冰川旅游发展潜力进行了综合评估,提出了相应的空间开发策略。结果表明：（1）区位交通潜力较高地区集中于冰川进入性和通达性较好的省会城市及周边地州市,以及具有明显地缘优势的区域;（2）资源环境潜力较高地区位于冰川资源禀赋高、规模大,冰川与周边景观组合条件优越,以及旅游资源富集区域;（3）基础开发潜力较高地区主要包括现已开展冰川旅游的地州市;（4）社会经济发展潜力较高地区集中于省会城市与工业基础较好地区,以及将旅游产业作为支柱产业的地州市。总体上,区位交通条件通达、冰川资源富集、经济社会条件优越,或拥有近域客源市场,或冰川进入性好,或隶属旅游资源富集区的地州市其冰川旅游发展潜力综合指数相对较高。

英文摘要：

This paper takes location and transportation,resources and environment,infrastructure and development,and socio-economic potential as important factors,and constructs a potential assessment system of glacier tourism development.Employing hierarchical analysis and analytic hierarch process,this paper evaluates synthetically glacier tourism development potential of 32 administrative units at prefectural level in China’s glacier area,and puts forward some relevant spatial development strategies.Some results are obtained as follows.（1） The regions with higher potential index of location and transportation are concentrated mainly in provincial capitals and their surrounding cities,which are characterized by geographical advantages.（2） The regions with richer glacier resource,bigger glacier scale,or better combination advantage between glaciers and the surrounding landscapes,or most enriched tourism resources have mostly higher potential index of resources and environment.（3） The regions with ongoing glacier tourism have higher potential index of infrastructure and development.（4） The regions with higher potential index of socio-economy include mainly provincial capitals and surrounding cities with better industrial bases,and some of the regions have taken tourism industry as a pillar.Generally,the regions with higher comprehensive potential index have better traffic conditions,richer glacier resources,better economic and social background,closer tourist market,better access to glacier area,or richer regional tourism resources.