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干旱频率分析研究进展
  • ISSN号:1001-6791
  • 期刊名称:《水科学进展》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:TV122[水利工程—水文学及水资源] G353.11[文化科学—情报学]
  • 作者机构:[1]南京水利科学研究院水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏南京210029, [2]合肥工业大学土木与水利工程学院,安徽合肥230009, [3]水利部水利水电规划设计总院,北京100011, [4]国核电力规划设计研究院,北京100094
  • 相关基金:基金项目:水利部公益性行业科研专项经费资助项目(201001043);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71273081)
中文摘要:

从干旱定义与识别、点干旱频率分析和区域干旱频率分析3个方面系统阐述了干旱频率分析研究进展和存在问题,归纳了适用于干旱频率分析的干旱定义,干旱识别存在的主要问题以及区域干旱频率分析研究的3种途径。提出综合利用研究区域水文气象特性、干旱成因、旱情、旱灾,并结合前期的大气环流条件等信息来描述和识别干旱,重点开展对干旱特征变量的理论分布、干旱事件重现期公式和经验频率公式等基本理论的研究,关注区域干旱频率分析,注重对径流、土壤水、地下水和供水系统的干旱特性分析。

英文摘要:

China frequently experiences large scale drought events. The latter have become one ofthe most important restraining factors affecting the socioeconomic development. Drought frequency analysis can reveal the characteristics of drought occurrences and their spatial and temporal distributions. Such an analysis is essential to the water resources planning, designing and management, as well as the risk-based management of drought disasters. In this paper, re- search progresses are systematically reviewed on the definition and identification of droughts and on the point to region- al frequency analysis of droughts. The concerning issues are also reported on. In addition, the drought definitions appli- cable to drought frequency analysis are highlighted. The main problems in drought identifications are discussed. Three approaches for regional frequency analysis of droughts are summarized. Finally, it is proposed that the description and identification of droughts should take full advantages of the regional information on the hydrographical and meteorologi- cal characteristics, the atmospheric circulation condition, as well as the cause and extent of droughts. The basic theo- retical issues in the distribution of variables, the drought return period and the empirical frequency need to be further studied. There should be paid more attention on the analysis of regional drought frequency and drought characteristics related to runoff, soil water and water system.

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期刊信息
  • 《水科学进展》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国水利部
  • 主办单位:水利部交通运输部 南京水利科学研究院 中国水利学会
  • 主编:张建云
  • 地址:南京市广州路225号
  • 邮编:210029
  • 邮箱:skxjz@nhri.cn
  • 电话:025- 85829770
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1001-6791
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:32-1309/P
  • 邮发代号:28-146
  • 获奖情况:
  • 全国水利系统优秀期刊、全国中文核心期刊(1996),1999年第三次被评为江苏省优秀期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 俄罗斯文摘杂志,美国化学文摘(网络版),波兰哥白尼索引,荷兰文摘与引文数据库,美国工程索引,美国剑桥科学文摘,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:24332