土地休耕是一种较为新兴的耕地保护制度,生态休耕是恢复地力、提高粮食产能和抵御自然灾害的有效措施。通过对鄱阳湖粮食产区农户休耕意愿的调查发现,有48.54%的农户愿意休耕,51.46%的农户认为休耕的经济生态补偿应当等于休耕面积总产值。采用二元Logistic回归方法对农户休耕意愿的影响因素进行分析,结果表明,非农业收入比例、耕地质量的主观判断对农户的休耕意愿分别具有正向影响和负向影响,而户主年龄、文化程度、劳动力数量等指标则影响不显著。
Farmland fallow is one of the emerging institutions for protecting farmland, which is a useful measure of restoration of fertility, improving grain production capacity and resisting natural disasters. Through investigation of rural households' fallow willingness in Poyang Lake main grain-producing areas, it was found that 48.54% of rural households had fallow willingness, and 51.46% of rural households thought tile ecological compensation should be equal to gross product of fallow area. After analyzing the influencing factors of households' fallow willingness by Logistic regression method, the results showed that non-farm income ratio had positive impact on fallow willingness and farmland quality had negative impact on it. Rural households' age, educational level and labor force had no significant impact.