以艾比湖流域为研究对象,基于研究区近60年水文、气象、社会经济等资料,分析了气候变化与人类活动对艾比湖流域水资源的影响。研究表明:(1)近60年,艾比湖流域三大主要干流径流总体呈现增加趋势;(2)近60年,虽然艾比湖流域千流径流量总体增加,但由于人类活动影响作用,导致艾比湖湖区面积和入湖量均呈现逐渐减少的趋势;(3)近60年,人类活动负影响的效果高于气候变化正影响的效果,人类活动的加剧是导致艾比湖流域湖区面积持续减少的主要原因。
With the Ebinur Lake as the research area, over sixty years data of hydrology and meteorology were taken to analyze the influence of the climate change and human activities on the water resources in the Ebinur Lake Basin. The results show that (1) there is a rise trend of the runoff in the three main streams of the Ebinur Lake in the recent 60 years; (2) due to the impact from the human activities, both the lake area and water appear a decreasing trend in the recent 60 years; (3) the negative effect of the human activity influence is more than the positive effect of the climate change, and the human activity increasing has let to the water surface decreasing of the Ehinur Lake.