综合运用GIS技术、逐步回归法、Logit模型,分析了2009—2012年河南省农业专业村数量结构、空间分布的变化特征,并探究了地理环境对农业专业村发展的影响。研究结果表明:农业专业村空间分布不均衡,局部地区集聚程度发生变化;农业专业化率随劳动力资源的增加而降低,丘陵、山区农业专业化率比平原区低,村庄区位显著影响农业专业化率;伴随农区发展,农业专业化生产对劳动力资源的依赖程度有所降低,丘陵、山地地形对农业专业化率的负面影响减弱,市场因素对农业专业化率的影响凸显;劳动力资源对花卉、蔬菜等劳动密集型的专业村形成具有正面影响,邻近批发市场能提高蔬菜、水果、花卉等市场依赖性强的专业村形成概率,靠近地级市、县城的区位条件有利于形成蔬菜、水果等专业村。该结果对农区专业村发展方向和策略制定具有一定借鉴意义。
By using GIS technology, stepwise regression analysis and logit model methods, this paper aims to analyze the changes of quantitative structure and spatial distribution from 2009 to 2012, and to investigate the influence of geographical environment factors on the development of agricultural specialized villages in Henan Province. The spatial distribution of specialized villages is imbalanced and the agglomeration degree in local areas changed. More labour force leads to lower agricultural specialization. The topography is always the important factor that affects agricultural specialization rate. The agricultural specialization rate of hilly terrain and mountain area is lower than of the plains. Village location affects agricultural specialization rate significantly. As the development of rural emation of agricultural specialized villages, especially for labour intensive production such as floristry, vegetable and so on. Adjacent to the wholesale market results in higher probability of specialization in vegetable, fruit, floristry, which shows stronger dependency and sensitivity toward the market. The closer location to its city and county site benefits specialization in vegetables and fruits. The results of the study may provide reference significance for development direction and strategy of rural specialized villages.