中文摘要：

通过主成分分析对房地产市场预警模型的影响因素进行分析,运用线性回归模型和Logistic回归模型对长春市房地产市场进行预测,并得出Logistic回归模型对房地产市场进行预警的结果优于线性回归模型。针对长春市房地产运行现状,提出土地、经济、行政等方面的建议。

英文摘要：

We analyze the influential factors to the real estate market early warning model with Principal Component Analysis,and predict the real estate market in Changchun with both the linear regression model and Logistic regression model.It is suggested that the Logistic regression model is better than the linear regression model to give the real estate early warning.Our research can offer some references for the land,economic and administrative management based on real estate operation in Changchun.