本文放宽一般博弈论中理性人的假设,运用混合建模方法构建了有限理性下的供应链合作博弈模型,模型将供应链企业的收益模糊化并扩展供应链合作博弈中局中人的策略空间,可以选择从“0”(完全不合作)到“1”(完全合作)连续区间内的任何合作程度,策略集是连续的区间。模拟结果表现为供应链合作策略的调整过程,能够提供更有效的决策支持。在此基础上,以二人合作博弈为例,用结合定性信息的定性模拟方法对博弈过程进行研究,得到结论:在供应链合作中,无论是平均分配还是按成员企业的资源投入分配,从模拟结果来看,定性模拟方法的使用,对一些不具备完备信息,无法建立精确数学模型的博弈过程也可以进行分析,并得出相对满意的结论。
Based on the players with bounded rationality, a supply chain cooperative game model is built using hybrid modeling method. In this model, Considered to the supply chain co-operation in addition to purely economic benefits but also have a long-term and stable cooperative relations and other income, the value of supply chain cooperation is fuzzed. In this dissertation, the degree of cooperation is concerned and the strategy set is a continuous interval between [0, 1]. As a example, a gaming model of two-person team is then built, in which the rules, algorithm and steps for simulation are designed, and the calculation of the quantitative and qualitative analysis is used to solve the problem. Comparing with the naive mathematical analysis method in the game theory, the combination of quantitative calculation and qualitative simulation can resolve some game problems without precise mathematical models and get relatively satisfied conclusions.