中文摘要：

从系统科学的观点出发分析了毕业生农村就业行为的结构性原因，并构建了系统动力学模型，通过实证仿真研究验证了模型的有效性，并利用该模型对不同政策下高校毕业生农村就业行为的主要指标进行了综合模拟预测，结果表明：政府相关政策激励因子、农村行政管理水平是影响系统模型的重要因素，最后对2011-2014年高校毕业生农村就业的人数、流失数等指标进行预测。为相关部门的制定毕业生就业政策提供参考和借鉴。

英文摘要：

Guide and encourage college graduates to work in rural areas is of great significance,not only to ease the employment pressure of urban, but also to provide personnel support for the new rural construction. In this paper, process of college graduates going to work in rural areas is de,;cribed using system dynamics theory. Furthermore, a system dynamics model is established and Vensim PLE is used to simulate and test the validation and sensitivity of the model. The simulation results show that the model could fit the practical ＂college-rural＂ talents flow and provide, valid supporting for decisions. The theoretical and practical implications of the study＇s findings are also discussed.