从致灾因子、孕灾环境、承灾体3个方面分析了洪涝灾害承灾体易损性,阐述了产业结构的发展趋势与动力,分析了产业结构对洪涝灾害承灾体易损性的影响。以安阳市为例,在分析典型年份产业结构的基础上,运用地均产值指标分析了2010年三大产业产值效益以及由产业结构变化导致的土地利用结构变化,探讨了典型年份产业结构调整对承灾体易损性的影响。结果表明:安阳市第一产业产值比重呈现减小趋势,第二产业比重最高且基本稳定,第三产业则呈增长趋势。在典型年份,第二产业产值所占比重最高时,承灾体易损性增强,洪涝灾害造成经济损失严重,且与第一产业所占比重呈相反发展趋势,与第三产业呈现相同发展趋势;洪涝灾害期间日降雨量明显减小,但其造成的损失却有加大趋势。近年来,安阳市第一产业产值比重下降,降低了承灾体的易损性;第二产业比重平稳增长以及第三产业比重上升较快,则增强了承灾体的易损性。
Beginning with the industrial structure, the relationship was expounded between the main industrial structure and the vulnerability of floods bearing bodies. The author analyzed the vulnerability of floods bearing bodies from disaster-causing factors, disaster-pregnant environments and disaster-bearing body, expounded the development trend and motivation of the industrial structure, discussed influence mechanism of the industrial structure on the vulnerability of floods bearing bodies. On the basis of the three main industrial structure analysis in typical years, the author used the year of 2012 output value per area to analyze the production efficiency of the three industrial output value of Anyang, and the changes of the land use structure caused by industrial structure change, explored the cause of three main industrial structure and the vulnerability of floods bearing bodies in the typical year. The results show that the proportion of primary industry keep steady decline, the proportion of secondary industry take a larger part and maintain steady growth, the tertiary industry keep a increasing process. The second industrial output have the highest percentage and at about 45%in 1993, 1998 and 2000, floods caused obvious economic losses, and the economic losses has the negative correlation with the ratio decreasing trend of the first industrial, but has the positive correlation with the increasing trend of third industrial structure. When the flood disaster occurs, the daily rainfall decreases obviously, but the economic losses caused by floods have a increasing trend. From 1997 to 2012 the primary industry proportion of output value declines, main crops cultivated area increase slowly, which reduce the vulnerability of hazard bearing body, the secondary industry proportion of output value maintain steady growth and building completed area maintained rapid growth, the third industry proportion of output value shows up-ward trend, which enhance vulnerability of hazard bearing body.