中文摘要：

在分析2001-2013年中国工业化特征分析基础上,运用Kaya方程将工业废水和废气排放分解为产值规模、高污染部门比重、产污系数和污染物来源部门结构四个因素,并运用LMDI因素分解法研究四个因素对污染物排放变化的贡献度。研究发现：2001年以来中国工业规模扩张对工业废水和废气排放增长呈正向拉动,单位产值污染物排放量的降低对污染物增长呈负向拉动。高污染部门在工业部门结构及污染物来源部门结构呈现不断增长趋势,其对污染物排放增长皆呈正向拉动,但其绝对值小于产值增长和单位产值污染物排放降低的作用。该现象主要归因于中国的环境治理重末端治理轻源头管控所致,因此建议中国环境管制应注重从产业结构入手,积极促进工业产业结构调整和产业链高级化。

英文摘要：

With joining into global production network and undertaking international industrial transfer, China has become the world manufacture base with its cheaper labor, land and resource, which promotes a gradual increase of industrial output. While, new international division of labor has made China play a role of global basic raw materials and low- ranking equipment manufacturer and producer, which has led to the fact that the heavy industrialization and high proportion of basic sectors are become main characteristics of Chinese industrialization in recent decades. At the same time, huge scale of industrial development has caused serious environmental pollution, such as smog, water pollution, soil pollution and fragility of ecological environment. The discharges of some industrial pollutants have increased gradually with the industrial development. In order to understand the impact of Chinese industrial development on the change of environmental pollution, this paper built the Kaya Equation between Chinese industrial pollutants discharge with industrial scale, industrial structure（the proportion of high- pollutant loaded sectors in gross industrial output）, pollution productive efficiency（the waste discharge per unit of gross industrial output） and waste discharge source structure from 2001 to 2013. Then, the contribution rates of four factors to the change of pollutants discharge were calculated with the approach of LMDI. It can be found that：（1） the expansion of Chinese industrial scale and decrease of pollutant discharge per unit of industrial output are two main factors affecting the change of industrial pollutant discharge.Huge increase of industrial output can lead to a distinct increase of industrial pollutants discharge, whose contribution rates to the change of industrial waste water discharge and gas emission are 6440% and 131% respectively. However, the industrial waste water discharge and waste gas emissions per unit of gross industrial output have been decreased greatly and relieved the inc