为尽量减小邻避设施建设引发的群体性事件对城市有效运转的影响,通过分析我国2007—2016年33起典型邻避型群体性事件,确定了包括设施本身、政府行为、参与者认知及行为和环境因素等4个方面共11个邻避型群体性事件影响因素;基于解释结构模型(ISM)建立邻避型群体性事件影响因素ISM,分析影响因素之间的关系结构,得到邻避型群体性事件的表层、中间层和深层影响因素。在此基础上,以表层影响因素为例,运用结构方程实证分析发现:设施的负外部性、群体对政府的负面认知、熟人社会关系、成本效用分配不均衡对邻避型群体性事件的发生影响显著,且影响程度依次降低。
To minimize the influence of group events caused by the construction of NIMBY facilities on the effective operation of the cities,33 typical group events caused by the problem of NIMBY in 2007-2016 years were analyzed.11 factors influencing the events were identified,which involve four aspects such as the facility itself,the government behavior,the cognition and behavior of participants and the environment.An interpretative structural model was built for NIMBY group events ' influence factors.Relationships between the factors were analyzed.They were divided into three groups,surface influence factors,intermediate influence factors and deep influence factors.An empirical analysis of the surface factors was made.The results show that the negative externalities of the facilities,the negative cognition of the group to the government,community pressure and herd mentality,and the unbalanced distribution of cost and utility have a significant effect on the occurrence of NIMBY group events,and the influence degrees descend in turn.