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中文摘要：
耗竭性会导致矿产资源的稀缺。建立以主要耗竭因素及突发性事件为变量、价格服从跳跃一一扩散过程的矿产品价格模型，来探讨主要耗竭因素对矿产品价格行为走势的影响，应用MATLAB编程技术对矿产品价格模型进行模拟，表明矿产资源的耗竭性使矿产品价格呈波动上行趋势，且不具回复性。这种变化特征对合理制定资源开采战略、资源优化配置战略具有重要参考价值。
英文摘要：
Depletion would cause the scarcity of mineral resources. This paper establishes a jump-diffusion process model of the mineral prices based on the major factors of the depletion and unexpected events. Then, it discusses the influence of the major factors of the depletion on the behavior of the mineral prices, with price movement simulation through MATLAB software. The results of the simulation showed that depletion would lead to an irreversible upward trend of the mineral prices. It will be beneficial for us to implement the strategies of optimal development and exploitation of the resource.
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