基于2011年在津农民工的问卷调查数据,运用有序Probit模型,在代际差异的视角下,考察了相关因素对农民工土地流转意愿的影响。研究发现:对第一代农民工土地流转意愿产生较大影响的因素主要是年龄、受教育程度、有无专业培训经历或证书、农户家庭规模、家庭年龄结构、家庭劳力结构、农地流转的稳定性、流转地在养老保障中的作用、是否签订劳动合同、就业稳定性、单位性质及外出务工所利用的方式;对新生代农民工土地流转意愿产生较大影响的因素主要有性别、教育程度、有无专业培训经历或证书、农户家庭规模、家庭年龄结构、家庭劳力结构、是否签订劳动合同、单位性质及外出务工所利用的方式。在此基础上,得出相应的政策启示。
Migrant worker demand for rural land rights is increasingly impacting the flow of labor between rural areas and cities. The objective of this paper was to investigate the factors influencing migrant workers support for land transfer using surveys of migrant workers in Tianjin in 2011. The analysis, based on 613 completed surveys and an ordered probit method, revealed that the factors influencing support for land transfer for older migrant workers were age, education, professional training experience or certification, family size, farmer age, labor structure, stability of land transfer, security function of transferred land, signing labor contract, stability of employment, unit property and the approach of migrant work. The factors driving attitudes in younger migrant workers were gender, education, professional training experience or certification, family size, farmer age, labor structure, signing labor contract, unit property and the approach of migrant work. These findings suggest that policy-making needs to consider intergenerational differences amongst migrant workers. At the micro level and considering the education and training of migrant workers, for older workers local employment and venture are important; for younger workers, flexible and informal educational is important to studying practical courses that allow them to accommodate city life. At a larger scale it is essential to build an environment for everyone to grow equally, break the city/countryside dual system and reform the census register system. Further, it is necessary to peel off social welfare added to the census register system, strengthen vocational training for migrant workers, advance their human capital, reinforce the protection of basic rights and benefits of land, and gradually probe the exit and compensation mechanisms for rural land and migrant workers.