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登陆台风强度变化机理研究
  • 项目名称：登陆台风强度变化机理研究
  • 项目类别：重点项目
  • 批准号：40730948
  • 申请代码：D05
  • 项目来源：国家自然科学基金
  • 研究期限：2008-01-01-2011-12-31
  • 项目负责人：陈联寿
  • 负责人职称：研究员
  • 依托单位：中国气象科学研究院
  • 批准年度：2007
中文摘要：

登陆过程是台风灾害集中发生的阶段，也是台风强度最为复杂多变的阶段。登陆台风包括近海和登上陆地的台风。其强度变化研究内容包括台风近海突然加强或突然消失、陆上维持与衰减、残涡入海加强以及变性过程等。台风强度的这种复杂变化常常使其预报失败，灾害防御措手不及。登陆台风强度变化研究是登陆台风研究的关键科学问题，也与防灾减灾紧密相关。本项目针对我国登陆台风强度异常变化现象，从登陆阶段海－陆－气不同过程以及不同尺度系统相互作用机理出发，应用沿海新一代气象综合观测系统以及卫星、雷达等资料源，采用观测分析、动力诊断和数值试验等技术途径，研究不同下垫面（海岸地形、半陆半海、海面、陆面等）对台风强度突变的影响、登陆台风与环境系统相互作用下以及变性过程中台风强度变化机理、台风中尺度过程及其结构变化与强度变化的关系以及强度变化过程中灾害影响机理等重要科学问题。本项目研究有助于认识登陆台风突发灾害的发生机理。

中文主题词： 登陆台风；强度变化；机理
成果综合统计
成果类型
数量
  • 期刊论文
  • 会议论文
  • 专利
  • 获奖
  • 著作
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期刊论文
Mechanism for initial brows-like meso-scale vortex effects on tropical cyclone track
登陆热带气旋入黄渤海强度变化的环境场特征
DIAGNOSIS ANALYSIS ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON “MOLAVE” (0906)
A statistical analysis on the different features of TC extratropical transition over land and ocean.
Boundary Layer Structure in Typhoon SAOMAI (2006): Understanding the Effects of Exchanging Coefficie
A Study on the Relationships between The Unusual Track of Typhoon MORAKOT(0908) and The Upper Wester
Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Intensity and Structure of Tropical Cyclone
Numerical simulation on re-intensification of tropical remnant re-entering the sea: A case study.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ON THE IMPACT OF POYANG LAKE ON TROPICAL CYCLONE BEHAVIER
台风“天鹅”、“巨爵”登陆过程风场结构特征的研究
登陆华南热带气旋的强度变化与大尺度环流背景的关系
Diagnosis of Interannual Variability in Landfalling Tropical Cyclone over China
Shear Gradient Vorticity Associated with TC Heavy Precipitation.: A High-resolution Numerical Extrat
An observational study of environmental dynamical control of tropical cyclone intensity in the North
地形影响热带气旋“泰利”降水增幅的数值研究
登陆执带气旋降水增幅的合成诊断分析
全球变暖对台风活动影响的研究进展,
西北太平洋热带气旋的闪电特征及其与强度关系的初步分析
A Numerical investigation of the eyewall evolution of a tropical cyclone.
A Study on Typhoon-Induced Rainfalls over Beijing: Statistics and Case Analysis.
基于偏最小二乘回归理论的西北太平洋热带气旋强度统计预报方法
Study on Formation and Development of a Mesoscale Convergence Line in Typhoon Rananim
Trend discrepancies among three best track data sets of western North Pacific tropical cyclones
Re-examination of Trends Related to Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific Basin.
台风云娜(2004)的高分辨率数值模拟研究:眼壁小尺度对流运动
IMPACTS OF DIFFERENT KINDS OF ENSO ON LANDFALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CHINA
BOUNDARY LAYER STRUCTURE IN TYPHOON SAOMAI (2006): UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE COEFFICIENT
THE IMPACT OF AIR-SEA INTERACTIONS ON TYPHOON STRUCTURE
冷空气影响热带气旋发生发展的研究进展
A CLIMATOLOGY OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC
2006年超级台风“桑美”强度与结构变化的数值模拟研究
海洋混合层厚度对热带气旋解构和强度变化影响的数值试验
南海源地热带气旋发生和登陆频数的气候变异
上海“0185”热带低压特大暴雨过程触发机制研究
西北太平洋风速垂直切变异常对热带气旋活动年际变化的影响
西北太平洋变性热带气旋的若干特征
环境因子对西北太平洋热带气旋气候特征的影响
台风云娜(2004)的敏感性数值试验及其对涡旋罗斯贝波的影响
地形对超强台风罗莎降水影响的初步分析
台风桑美登陆前后降水结构的时空演变特征
台风云娜（2004）的高分辨率数值模拟研究——眼壁小尺度对流运动
热带气旋登陆前强度变化的统计特征分析
环境风垂直切变对0908号台风“莫拉克”影响的分析
RESEARCH PROGRESS ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY CHANGE NEAR THE COASTAL REGION
Dynamic Factors Related to Decay Process of Offshore Tropical Cyclones in Northwest Pacific
A 3DVAR-based Dynamical Initialization Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Predictions
IMPACT OF UPPER-LEVEL COLD VORTEX ON THE RAPID INTENSITY AND MOTION CHANGES OF TYPHOON MERANTI (2010
Intensity Change Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific as Revealed by Th
台风莫拉克、天鹅和艾涛的引导流及相互作用研究
Observational Analysis of Heavy Rainfall Mechanisms Associated with Severe Tropical Storm Bilis (200
An Overview of Research and Forecasting on Rainfall Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Rainfall Reinforcement Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclone
“珍珠”（0601）异常急翘路径和内核结构变化的诊断分析及数值研究
潜热通量异常对西北太平洋热带气旋活动影响的机理研究
基于业务中尺度模式的配料法强降水定量预报
中国近海热带气旋强度突变的热力特征
环境场对近海热带气旋突然减弱的影响
内核及外围尺度与热带气旋强度关系的初步研究
Limited-Area Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation.
Impact of sea spray on tropical cyclone structure and intensity change
Effect of intial perturbation of land surface process on tropical cyclone forecast
A western north Pacific tropical cyclone intensity prediction scheme.
复杂构型非孤立圆涡的能量频散
热带气象灾害及其研究进展
登陆台风降水的大尺度环流诊断分析
登陆中国热带气旋入海强度变化的统计特征
Finescale Spiral Rainbands Modeled in a High-Resolution Simulation of Typhoon Rananim (2004).
Tropical Cyclone Strikes at the Coastal Cities of China from 1949 to 2008.
Energy dispersion of complex non-isolated vortices
Multiple-Scale Interactions Affecting Tropical Cyclone Track
A possible mechanism responsible for exceptional rainfall over Taiwan from Typhoon Morakot
THE RELATIONSHIP BETEEEN GLOBAL WARMING AND THE VARIATION IN TROPICAL CYCLONE FREQUENCY OVER THE WES
OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS OF ASYMMETRIC DISTRIBUTION OFCONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES “CH
Cyclone Phase Space Characteristics of the Extratropical Transitioning Tropical Cyclones over the We
Statistics for Size and RadialWind Profile of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific
Microphysical Characteristics of the Raindrop Size Distribution in Typhoon Morakot (2009)
强风天气条件下海气动量交换参数的观测分析
台风麦莎渤海转向的可预报性研究
EFFECT OF INITIAL PERTURBATION OF LAND SURFACE PROCESSES ON TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST
登陆热带气旋暴雨突然增幅和特大暴雨之研究进展
Sepat台风（0709）登陆过程中眼放大现象研究
登陆台风Rananim（0414）环流内中尺度辐合线的形成和发展研究
“相空间”方法判断西北太平洋热带气旋变性适用性研究
台风远距离暴雨的研究进展
环境场对近海热带气旋突然增强与突然减弱影响的对比分析
台风麦莎（Matsa）特大暴雨及其结构特征分析
全球变暖对台风活动影响的研究进展
台风“云娜”在近海强度变化及结构特征的数值研究Ⅰ：云微物理参数化对云结构及降水特征的影响
OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS OF ASYMMETRIC DISTRIBUTION OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES ＂CHANCHU＂ AND ＂PRAPIROON＂ MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH CHINA COAST
A Numerical Investigation of the Eyewall Evolution of a Tropical Cyclone
Mean Structure of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall in Mainland China
INTENSITY CHANGE CHARACTERISTICS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AS REVEALED BY THREE DIFFERENT DATASETS
IMPACT OF SEA SPRAY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY CHANGE
NUMERICAL SIMULATION ON RE-INTENSIFICATION OF TROPICAL REMNANT REIENTERING THE SEA： A CASE STUDY
登陆热带气旋海马（0421）变性加强的诊断研究
北京地区的台风降水特征研究
会议论文
Natural Disaster Forecasting Science and Its Evolution
Multi-Natural Disaster Forecasting Science and Its Development
Natural Disaster Forecasting Science and Its Evolution
The Evolution of Forecast Science on Natural Disasters
An Overview on the Mechanism Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Remote Precipitation
Tropical Cyclone Unusual Phenomena and Early Warning System
Large-Scale Characteristics and Probability of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones in the Western
The Summary of Scientific Issues of the Workshop
首席预报员讲座（3）
登陆台风前后结构和强度突变机理研究进展
侵袭二岸台风的动力学及其相关同化技术研究
影响我国的登陆热带气旋降水分布
An overview on the study of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall and Intensity Change in Different Phases
The Estimation of Rainstorm Forecast Skill along Yangtze Valley through Atmospheric “Strong Signal”
Summary of the Science from Workshop Presentations
Natural Disaster Forecasting Science and its Evolution
Interaction between Landfalling Tropical and Summer Monsoon
自然灾害及其预测科学
预测科学讲座
热带气旋暴雨研究的进展
梯度风平衡下的台风边界层结构研究
Pre-landfall Intensification of SCS Tropical Cyclone: Environmental Forcing
On the Review on the Work Development and Feature Plan for Tropical Meteorological Research
AN OVERVIEW ON RAPID CHANGE PHENOMENA IN TROPICAL CYCLONES
Observational Analysis of Heavy Rainfall Mechanisms Associated with Severe Tropical Storm Bilis(2006
On the Study of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Mechanism
Winnie(1997)台风变性过程中降水变化特征分析
台风Goni(0907)与台风Morakot（0908）的相互主要及其对台风强度的影响研究
强风条件下近海海气动量交换参数的观测分析
拖曳系数算法改进对台风“桑美”强度的影响
全球主要业务数值模式的热带气旋强度预报能力分析
微物理过程对台风桑美（2006）强度和结构影响的数值模拟研究
Diagnosis of interannual variability in landingfalling tropical cyclone frequency over China
华东登陆台风外场观测系统设计介绍
WMO 2nd International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Processes(IWTCLPⅡ)
Sensitivity of Numerical Simulation of Typhoon Saomai (2006) to Cloud Microphysical Parameterization
台风登陆前后多源观测资料综合分析理论和方法研究
A study on rainfall retrieval and nowcasting with IR-VIS satellite imageries
Interaction between Typhoon Morakot（0908）and Goni (0907) and Its Impacts on Typhoon Intensity Change
On the Study of Rainfall and Distribution Associated with the Typhoon Winnie(9711) during Its Proces
A Modeling Study of Land Surface Processes Impacts on Inland Behavior of Typhoon Rananim(2004)
A Numerical Study on the Impact of Land Surface Processes on the Structure and Rainfall of Landfalli
Pre-landfall Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in South China Sea: Environmental Forcing
台风桑美（2006）边界层结构特征：对拖曳系数的理解
Simulation of spiral rain bands and vertical resolution
A Study on the Effects of Environmental Circulation and Boundary-Layer Processes on Tropical Cyclone
Rainfall Reinforcement Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
TC Precipitation (QPE/QPF) and Related Inland Flood Modeling
Multi-scale Analyses on Pre-landfall Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Meranti (2010)
A Study on Formation and Development of Mesoscale Convergence Line within Typhoon Circulation
Model error estimation in ensemble Kalman filter
登陆台风的雷达资料同化
Formation and Evolution of a Squall Line Preceding Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Kammuri (2008) in We
The Formation Mechanism of Squall Lines Preceding Land-falling Tropical Cyclones
模式螺旋雨带对垂直分辨率的敏感性研究
The Effects of Environmental Circulation and Boundary-Layer Processes on Tropical Cyclone Structure
Introduction on Tropical Cyclone Rainfall
Some Visions on the Development of Tropical Meteorology
Forecast on Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Rainfall
自然灾害预测科学的发展
热带气象灾害及其科学问题
登陆热带气旋暴雨研究进展
登陆热带气旋的科学问题
Recent Progresses on TC Precipitation (QFE/QPF)
Jeffrey Callaghan, 2010, TC Precipitation (QPE/QPF) and related inland flood modeling
短期天气预报讲座
热带气象灾害及其研究进展
登陆台风的变性和复苏
热带气象灾害及其预测科学
登陆台风研究进展
登陆台风结构和强度变化机理
Gradient-wind Momentum Approximation and Dynamics of Boundary Layer in Tropical Cyclone
Research of Meso-scale Convective Systems over Jinan on 18 July 2007
A Preliminary Study on the Sudden Structural Change of Tropical Cyclones in Taiwan Strait
登陆热带气旋降水增幅的合成诊断分析
西北太平洋台风对北京的降水影响研究
台风环流内中尺度系统的活动机理
自然灾害预测科学的发展
热带气旋研究和业务工作进展
Unusual Variation of Landfall Tropical Cyclone Behavior and Associated Physical Mechanism- - - - A
全球热带气旋活动特征综述
登陆台风几个前沿科学问题的研究
Natural Multi-Disasters(NMD) and its Forecast Sconces
首席预报员讲座（2）
台风形成机理、灾害影响和防御
热带气旋中的突变现象
自然灾害预测科学的进展
台风中的突变现象
登陆热带气旋（LTC)研究的若干科学问题
台湾海峡两岸异常台风的特征
热带气旋降水研究进展
The Evolution of Precipitation Caused by Landfalling Tropical Cyclone (LTC)
Operational Procedures of Satellite Analysis on Tropical Cyclone in CMA
Some Unusual Phenomena in Tropical Cyclones
An Overview on Tropical Cyclones
登陆台风强度变化机理研究
近海台风强度变化研究进展
多光谱卫星图像降水反演及临近预报
Progresses on the National Basic Research Program on Unusual Behavior of Landfalling Tropical Cyclon
pplication of an ensemble-Kalman filter in Mesoscale and Regional-scale data assimilation
Experiments on a Statistical Prediction Scheme of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast in Western Nor
A Study on the Eyewall Expansion of Typhoon Sepat（2007）during Its Landfall Process
IMPACTS OF UPPER-LEVEL COLD VORTEX ON THE RAPID CHANGE OF INTENSTTY AND MOTION OF TYPHOON MERANTI(20
Application of Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Prediction Products in Shanghai Meteorological Bureau
An Overview on Tropical Meteorology Research Activities over the World
Perspective on Tropical Cyclone Activities over the Pacific
Review of the Scientific Issues of WMO 3rd QPE/QPF and Hydrology
Report on the work Progress and Future Plan for Tropical Meteorology Research(TMR)
Global View on the Features of Tropical Cyclone Activities
WMO 3rd International Conference on Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Quantitative Precipita
An Overview on Study in Tropical Cyclone Remote Rainfall
Numerical Study of Topographic Effect on Rainfall Reinforcement Associated with Tropical Cyclone Tal
Torrential Rainfall Mechanisms of Severe Tropical Storm Bilis (2006) after its Landfall
SIMULATION OF SPIRAL RAIN BANDS AND VERTICAL RESOLUTION
Impact of Model Error on Mesoscale Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation
Squall lines preceding landfalling tropical cyclones
observational analysis of heavy rainfall mechanism associated with severe tropical storm Bilis (2006
自然灾害预测科学的发展
Trend Discrepancies among Three Best-track Datasets of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones. The
International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Unusual Behavior
The estimation of TC quantitative precipitation forecast affecting Shanghai in 2009
气旋相空间方法在变性台风“威马逊”（0802）中的应用
著作
台风预报及其灾害
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