与在 2004 年 12 月 31 日消除的多纤维安排(MFA ) ,纺织品和衣服的贸易上的争论和担心一直在成长。这研究的目的是在取消 MFA 以后检验在中国和世界经济上的其他的政策的影响。基于全球贸易分析工程(GTAP ) 的一个一般平衡模型,如果美国, EU 和加拿大变换成 TBT 限制,中国和世界将显著地从进一步的贸易 liberalization.However 有益于的学习表演进口,从消除 MFA 的获得将大部分是偏移量。基于我们的分析,一些政策含意被讨论。
With Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) eliminated on Dec 31, 2004, the debates and concerns on the trade of textile and apparel have been growing. The objective of this study is to examine the impacts of alternative policies on China and World economy after canceling MFA. Based on a general equilibrium model of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), study shows that China and World will significantly benefit from further trade liberalization. However, if USA, EU and Canada converted to TBT to restrict import, the gains from eliminating MFA would be largely offset. Based on our analysis, some policy implications are discussed.