中文摘要：

裕度及不确定度量化方法（ Quantification of Margin and Uncertainty，QMU）能够基于裕度及其不确定度信息对系统是否达到其指标要求进行科学的判断与决策。借助新的数值模拟不确定度量化方法，建立基于数值模拟预测及其不确定度的QMU决策技术体系。结合库存产品可靠性评估的实例，展示该体系的主要思想及其实现过程。

英文摘要：

With margins and their uncertainties, QMU （ Quantification of Margin and Uncertainty） method can be used to make decisions on whether performances of a product reach demands or not. Recur to new methods of UQ （ Uncertainty Quantification） for M＆S （Modeling ＆ Simulation）, QMU is actualized with input information directly from M＆S and its uncertainties. With reliability assessment for a stockpiled product, main ideas and executing details of QMU decision are demonstrated.