欢迎您！东篱公司
退出
-
申报数据库
-
立项数据库
-
成果数据库
-
项目获奖数据库
中文摘要：
现有的决策模型大都建立在预期效用理论的基础上，这是一种纯粹理性的决策方式。但人并不总是完全理性的。采用前景理论代替期望效用理论作为决策模型，它更符合人类实际的决策模式，尤其是在战场这种急剧复杂和动态的环境中。首先对前景理论的提出进行了介绍，并与预期效用理论进行了对比，然后结合一个案例对前景理论在决策行为建模中的应用方式进行了研究。最后对前景理论应用于作战决策研究时的特点和过程进行了说明。
英文摘要：
The most existing decision models are based on Expected Utility Theory that is a pure rational method. However, person is not always totally rational. The decision model based on Prospect Theory describes the decision act of human being more credibly than Expected Utility Theory, especially in condition of battlefield that is extremely complex and dynamic. Firstly Prospect Theory was briefly introduced and was compared with Expected Utility Theory. Then the application pattern of Prospect Theory in decision modeling was studied via a routine choice case. Finally, the features and process of Expect Theory applied to combat decision were explained.
同期刊论文项目
同项目期刊论文
期刊信息
位置：