农户模型方法是从微观层次的角度把农户的生产行为和消费行为结合起来,来系统分析各种政策和外界冲击对微观农户的生产、消费、市场供给等行为的影响一个工具。本文从理论和实证的角度对农户模型方法进行介绍,并构建了一个用于分析中国加入WTO对农户生产和消费影响的局部均衡模型。这个模型系统把农户的生产和消费行为结合在一起,而且这个模型也不同于别的模拟模型,它是建立在微观模拟的基础上的。
Farm household model approach is used as a tool to analyze, at the micro-level, the impacts of changes of in macro and seetoral policy, and other external shocks on farm household's production, consumption and the market supply. The paper introduces the farm household model approach from theoretical and empirical perspeetives and sets up an implementable partial equilibrium model for the agricultural households to analyse the impacts of China's WTO accession. The model incorporates both production and consumption behaviors of farm households. The model differs form other simulation models in that it is based on mierosimilation.