2013年上半年,全球经济下行风险有所缓和,特别是美国经济在量化宽松的政策推动下复苏势头强劲,欧元区经济也显现出复苏的迹象。本文从经济增长、物价波动、失业状况和制造业发展等层面对欧美经济目前的现状进行分析,并对未来走势进行判断。欧美经济对中国经济影响很大,我国一方面要在欧美经济走强的背景下继续扩大对外贸易,同时也要警惕欧美经济走强引致资本回流对我国金融市场稳定可能产生的负面冲击。
For the past half year of 2013, the downside risks of global economy has been eased, especially the quantitative easing policy prompted the United States’ economy a strong recovery, Euro zone economy is also showing signs of recovery. This paper will analyze the current situations of the economies in Europe and the United States from such aspects as economic growth, inlfation, unemployment situation and the development of the manufacturing industry, and deduce the future tendency. As that both of the economies of Europe and the United States will have a great inlfuence on China, we should on one hand expand foreign trade in the context of a stronger economy in Europe and America, and on the other hand be alert to capital return caused by the recovery of Europe and American economy that may have a negative impact on the stability of China’s ifnancial markets.