借鉴美国经济学家Yenguje最新研究成果构建新的空间极化模型,分析中国产业结构冲击对就业风险空间极化的影响,使用面板数据固定效应回归和分位数回归两种实证分析方法进行对比研究,并测算中国就业风险的空间极化演变指数,认为第三产业产值变动冲击是影响劳动力市场的最重要因素,地区变量在很大程度上影响了中国就业风险的空间极化,东部沿海地区是就业风险比较集中的地区,产业结构性冲击对就业风险的空间极化演变趋势先下降后上升到达最大值后又趋于下降,研究结论对中国就业市场的均衡发展具有重要的借鉴意义。
Based on American economist Yenguje the latest research findings to build new space polarization model to analyze the impact of Chinas industrial structure impact on employment risks spatial polarization, the use of panel data fixed effects regression and quantile regression analysis of two empirical methods comparative studies, and estimates the index of risk of employment spatial polarization evolution, considered the impact of changes in value of the tertiary industry was the most important factor affecting the labor market, regional variables largely affected the spatial polarization, the eastern coast of the employment risks area is relatively concentrated areas of employment risk, the impact of China's industrial structure of the evolution of spatial polarization employment risk declined after the first rising trend reaches a maximum and then tends to decline, researchfindings have important ref-erence for the balanced development of the job market.