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经倾向指数匹配后的GP方案与NP方案治疗非小细胞肺癌的疗效评价
  • ISSN号:1002-3674
  • 期刊名称:《中国卫生统计》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:R734.2[医药卫生—肿瘤;医药卫生—临床医学]
  • 作者机构:[1]潍坊医学院公共卫生学院卫生统计学教研室,261053, [2]潍坊医学院财务处, [3]山东省肿瘤医院, [4]第四军医大学卫生统计学教研室
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金(81141112,81101290);山东省自然科学基金(ZR2009CM117)
中文摘要:

【提要】目的将非小细胞肺癌患者分为吉西他滨联合顺铂(GP)方案和长春瑞滨联合顺铂(NP)方案两组,用倾向指数匹配法均衡组问的协变量,评价两种治疗方案的效果。方法以分组变量为因变量,协变量为白变量建立logistic回归模型,计算非小细胞肺癌病人的倾向指数,然后按照倾向指数进行组间卡钳匹配,对匹配后的数据进行生存分析。结果匹配前GP组和NP组的中位生存期分别为2.12年和2.18年;其置信区间分别为(1.76~2.51)年和(1.82~2.54)年:GP组和NP组的1年生存率分别为83.98%和85.25%;2年生存率分别为55.68%和58.13%;3年生存率分别为23.47%和24.99%。Logrank检验两组生存曲线间没有统计学差异(P〉0.05)。匹配后中位生存时间分别为1.96年和2.31年;其置信区间分别为(1.56~2.36)年及(1.87~2.66)年;GP组和NP组的1年生存率分别为82.83%和85.23%;2年生存率分别为49.29%和58.04%;3年生存率分别为23.18%和25.26%。Logrank检验结果表明两组生存曲线之间差别无统计学意义(P〉0.05)。结论采用倾向指数匹配法能有效的降低混杂偏倚,GP和NP两种化疗方案均可作为NSCLC的一线治疗方案。

英文摘要:

Objective To evaluate the effects between combination of gemcitabine and cisplatin(GP) and combination of vinorelbine and cisplatin(NP) on two groups of non-small cell lung cancer patients after balancing the covariates by propensity score. Methods The logistic regression model was established where the treatment assignment was taken as the dependent varia- ble and the covariates were taken as the independent variables. For each NSCLC patient, the propensity score was calculated for caliper matching and a survival analysis of the matched data were carded out. Results Before matching, the median survival time(MST) of GP and NP were 2. 12 and 2. lg years,and the confidence interval(CI) were 1.76 -2. 51 years and 1.82 -2. 54 years. One-,two-,and three-year survival rates were 83.98% and 85.25% ,55.68% and 58.13% ,23.47% and 24. 99% respec- tively. The Logrank test showed that there was no significant differences in the overall survival rate between the two groups( P 〉 0. 05 ). After matching, the MST of GP and NP were 1.96 and 2. 31 years, and the CI were 1.56 - 2. 36 years and 1.87 - 2. 66 years. One-,two-,and three-year survival rates were 82. 83% and 85.23% ,49. 29% and 58. 04% ,23.18% and 25.26% respec- tively. The Logrank test showed that there was no significant differences in the overall survival rate between the two groups( P 〉 0. 05 ). Conclusion Propensity score matching can effectively reduce the confounding bias of non-randomized clinical observa- tional data. Both GP and NP regimens could be used as the original chemotherapy for NSCLC.

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期刊信息
  • 《中国卫生统计》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国卫生和计划生育委员会
  • 主办单位:中国卫生信息学会 中国医科大学
  • 主编:孟群
  • 地址:沈阳市沈北新区蒲河路77号
  • 邮编:110122
  • 邮箱:zgwstj@126.com
  • 电话:024-31939626
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1002-3674
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:21-1153/R
  • 邮发代号:8-39
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:20780