通过构建大都市与其腹地间产业结构变动相互关系的理论分析框架,对我国33个省会与副省级城市与腹地间产业结构的动态演变进行实证分析。研究表明:大都市与腹地间三次产业结构演变呈现出方向一致、时序非同步等特点,形成不同的区域模式。进一步研究表明,时序非同步的影响因素主要是区位、腹地经济发展水平和城市化水平等,大都市产业结构升级演变不能脱离其腹地经济发展实际。研究观测结果对当前我国各主要大都市盛行生产性服务业热和后工业化热提出商榷,对大都市能否脱离腹地经济发展水平而超前跨越发展是否具有足够经验支撑提出探讨。
The study on the relationship of the industrial structure evolution is a valuable topic, builds an analytical framework used to understand the changes in industrial structure of the metropolis and the hinterland. Empirical studies based on nearly 32 cities-regions in China show that the synchronization and similarity are existed in the direction of the industrial structure evolution between the metropolis and the hinterland. Further research indicates that upgrading the industrial structure of metropolitan evolution can not be completely divorced from the reality of economic development of its hinterland.