防震减灾能力是衡量一个国家抗御地震灾害的重要指标,提升防震减灾能力是国家防灾减灾工作的主要任务。评价某区域的防震减灾能力需要科学地设定若干指标,这些指标不仅是评价的依据,而且对防震减灾能力建设也有重要的指导作用。首先讨论了防震减灾能力建设及其评价的有关问题;然后针对大震巨灾构建了一套比较完整的评价指标,运用模糊综合评价法作为防震减灾能力评价的基本评价方法,给出了具体的评价步骤和基本的评价模型;最后以汶川地震作为研究对象,对所构建的评价指标进行了可行性分析。
The earthquake disaster prevention and reduction capacity is an important index to measure the earthquake disaster resistance of a country. Improving earthquake disaster reduction capacity is the main task of the national disaster prevention and mitigation. It is necessary to set some reasonable assessment indices for the evaluation of a regional earthquake disaster reduction capability, which is not only a basis for evaluation but also plays an important role in guiding the capacity construction of earthquake disaster reduction. In this paper, issues related to earthquake disaster reduction capacity building and its evaluation were discussed, then, a set of evaluation indices for earthquake catastrophe was proposed. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used as the basic evaluation method for the evaluation of earthquake disaster reduction capacity and specific evaluation steps and basic evaluation model were given. In the end, Wenchuan earthquake was taken as the evaluation object to analyze the feasibility of evaluation index proposed in this paper.