介绍了TRIZ进化理论、技术进化模式和进化路线、技术成熟度及其预测方法,探讨了其对于武器装备遮障伪装系统发展预测的应用问题。在专利数据分析的基础上,应用技术成熟度预测方法分析了目前遮障伪装系统所处的发展现状,并结合技术进化理论提出了未来遮障伪装系统发展的五条进化路线。
TRIZ evolution theory,technique evolution patterns,technique evolution lines,the technical maturity and its forecast methods are introduced,and the applied problem of this evolution theory fo weapon equipment camouflage screen system. Based on patent data analyzing,the actuality of the camouflage screen system development is analyzed by using the technical maturity forecast method,and combined with technique evolution theory,five evolution lines of future camouflage screen system are bring forward.