交通事故成本是公路养护施工区总成本的关键组成部分,公路养护施工区的特征参数影响交通事故发生风险。文章根据全国4个省公路建设项目施工作业区布局设置优化调研数据,对潜在的施工作业区交通事故致因进行了挖掘,对交通事故发生风险受公路养护施工作业区布局特征参数的影响程度进行了定量研究,预测不同布局设置特征施工区交通事故的发生概率,并建立了基于公路养护施工区特征参数的交通事故成本模型。研究成果可为优化施工区布局设置和施工区成本效益分析提供理论基础。
Traffic crash cost in highway work zone is an important part of its total costs. Work zone layout parameters have significant impacts on the risk and cost of crash occurrence. Referring to the survey data of highway work zones layout of four provinces in China, potential work zone parameters which hffect the occurrence of work zone crash were identified. The effect of work zone layouts on the risk level of crash occurrence was quantified, and the probability of work zones encountering crashes was estimated. A new metric is presented, estimating the monetary value of work zone crashes, to present work zone crash cost with respect to work zone layout parameters. This new development holds a strong promise to improve current work zone layouts and provide theoretical basis.