运用K均值聚类将我国沿海11省(市)1996~2013年海洋经济份额变动情况划分为3个阶段,并使用偏离-份额分析法和GIS空间分析技术对不同阶段驱动各沿海省(市)海洋经济增长的主要海洋产业及变迁规律进行分析,从而分析各沿海省(市)海洋产业与海洋经济空间格局相互作用的变化趋势.结果表明:1)1996~2013年,我国海洋经济增长的主要驱动产业由海洋第一产业转变为海洋第三产业,海洋经济转型成效显著.2)1996~2001年,除上海、天津外,其余省(市)海洋第一产业为驱动海洋经济增长的主要产业.3)2002~2007年,我国海洋第二产业结构优势逐渐增强,对各省(市)海洋经济份额增长的贡献率越来越大.4)2008年以来,我国海洋产业结构继续优化,上海、浙江、福建、广东海洋产业结构优于其他沿海省(市),其中浙江、广东海洋第三产业已经成为驱动海洋经济发展的主要海洋产业.
Three periods are divided for China's 11 coastal provinces(municipalities)marine economic changes in share from 1996 to 2013by using K-means cluster analysis.And the driving force of marine economic growth and industrial change rule of the areas are analyzed with shift-share analysis and GIS spatial analysis technique in the different periods,then the interactive change trends of marine industry and marine economic landscape evolution are also analyzed.The main conclusions are as follows:from 1996 to 2013,the main driving industry of marine economic growth has a change from the first industry to the third industry,and the transition of marine economy is obvious.From 1996 to 2001,the overall of China's marine economy was not high level,most provinces(municipalities)driving economic growth was the first industry except for Shanghai and Tianjin.From 2002 to 2007,the second industry became the main industry for provinces(municipalities)economic growth.Since 2008,China's marine industry has optimized continuously,the third industry has become the main driving industry in Zhejiang and Guangdong.The tertiary structure and competitiveness in southern coastal areas have been better than those in northern coastal areas.