21世纪初以来国际资源价格飙升,进口国与出口国之间围绕自然资源产品的贸易矛盾日益突出,国际资源贸易干预增强,出口限制政策增多。构建局部均衡模型,应用微观博弈分析方法,在资源价格飙升背景下,分别分析资源出口国与进口国在非合作模式、合作模式以及WTO体制下的贸易政策制定。研究表明,在国际资源价格受外部冲击飙升时,资源进出口国政府的目标函数受本国利益集团的影响,资源出口国倾向于征收出口税,资源进口国倾向于提供进口补贴,各自"以邻为壑"的贸易政策导致国内干预政策失效并进一步推高国际资源价格。
Since the 21 st century, the international resource prices soared and the trade conflicts between importing and exporting countries around natural resource products have become increasingly prominent, intervention of international resources trade enhances, and export restriction policy increases. In the background of resource prices soaring, by constructing a partial equilibrium model and using differential game analysis method, the paper analyzes the trade policy formulation between resource-exporting countries and resource-importing countries under non-cooperative mode, cooperative mode, and WTO system respectively. The results show that, when the international resource prices soar due to external shocks, the government's objective of the resources importing and exporting countries will be affected by function of national interest groups, and resource-exporting countries tend to impose export taxes, resource-importing countries tend to provide import subsidies, thus the beggar-thy-neighbor trade policies will lead to the intervention policy failure and further enhance the international resource prices further.