中文摘要：

将C-D和CES生产函数转化为状态空间模型,对1986-2011年我国工业经济相关数据进行实证分析,估计了工业经济增长中资本和劳动的产出弹性、规模报酬和资本与劳动之间替代弹性的动态变化,并针对估计结果进行分析,结果与我国工业经济发展过程相符合,说明了状态空间模型方法对于我国工业经济发展趋势分析的适用性。

英文摘要：

With C-D and CES state-space models transformed from production functions, the related gross industrial output data from 1986 to 2011 are analyzed to estimate the dynamic variations of the output elasticity between capital and labor and substitution elasticity between capital and labor. The results show that our analysis is consistent with process of industry development in china, and the models are feasible.