利用中国2005—2014年省际面板数据,本文主要考察创意产业对区域经济结构的长短期影响。结果表明,创意产业与地区经济结构并非呈简单的线性关系,具体表现为创意产业与第三产业占比呈倒U型关系,与第二产业占比呈U型关系,且这一结论是稳健的。在短期,创意产业主要通过需求方面优化居民消费结构,更能提升第三产业产值,加快经济结构升级;在长期,更体现在通过产业融合及全要素生产率的提高来促进传统制造业转型升级,对改善当前中国低端制造业面临的困境具有重大意义。
This paper uses the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2014 to investigate the long-term and shortterm effects of the creative industry on the regional industrial structure. The results, proved to be robust, show that there is a non-linear relations inverted U-shaped relationship hip be between the creative industry and the re tween the creative industry and the tertiary gional indus industrial structure, namely an try, and a U-shaped relationship between the creative industry and the secondary industry. The conclusion show that, in the short term, the creative industry can improve the tertiary industry output value and accelerate the upgrade of industrial structure through optimizing the consumption structure in the demand side;while in the long term, the creative industry has much impact on the promotion of traditional manufacture through industrial integration and improvement of total factor productivity, which would help the current low-end manufacturing industry of China get rid of great difficulties.