中文摘要：

基于2005—2014年中国省级面板数据,运用ESDA方法探索物流业发展的空间依赖性,构建空间杜宾模型考察物流业发展的驱动因素及溢出效应。结果表明：中国物流业发展的地域特征明显,呈现正的空间自相关;影响物流业发展的要素中,科技进步对物流业发展推动最强,但经济发展、基础建设和对外开放的作用也不容忽视;在各要素中,对外开放对物流业发展具有正向空间溢出效应,基础建设的溢出效应为负,而经济发展和科技进步的溢出效应并不显著。

英文摘要：

Based on Chinese provincial panel data for the period of 2005—2014,this study explores the spatial dependence of the logistics industry by utilizing ESDA method. The Spatial Durbin M odel is constructed to study driving factors and spillover effects of logistics industry. The results prove that China＇s logistics industry has obvious regional characteristics,w hich show s positive spatial autocorrelation. Among the multi-dimensional influencing factors of the logistics industry,the scientific and technological progress is the strongest impetus to the development of the logistics industry. How ever,the roles of economic grow th,infrastructure construction and the opening level can not be neglected. Among the driving factors,the opening level has a positive spillover effect on the development of the logistics industry,w hile the infrastructure construction has a negative spillover effect,economic development and the scientific and technological progress has insignificant spillover effect.