中文摘要：

煤矿区生态环境恶化,严重影响着人们的生存环境。对矿区生态环境的质量和发展变化进行预测,及时采取防治和保护措施,对生态环境的修复及建设具有重要意义。本文通过对当前生态环境影响预测方法进行研究,分析各预测方法的优缺点,并希望找出一种适合浅埋深煤层煤矿开采的预测方法-灰色系统理论模型,从而为今后的研究提供科学依据。

英文摘要：

The ecological environment deterioration of mining area seriously affects people's lives and living environment. It is very important to predict the quality and development changes of the ecological environment and take timely preventive and protective measures. This paper through summarized the current research on environment predicting methods, analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of various prediction methods, and found the gray system model which is suited for shallow buried and deep coal seam mining. This will provide the scientific basis for the future research.