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故障假设分析与保护层分析的集成研究
  • ISSN号:1003-3033
  • 期刊名称:中国安全科学学报
  • 时间:2011.10.10
  • 页码:227-231
  • 分类:X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]
  • 作者机构:[1]湖南科技大学煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室,能源与安全工程学院,湖南湘潭411201
  • 相关基金:基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51074072);湖南省高校科技创新团队支持计划项目(湘教通[2008]244号)
  • 相关项目:矿井降温系统冷风长距离输送冷风参数变化规律研究
中文摘要:

针对故障假设分析能有效辨识各种潜在危险和可能事故的优势,保护层分析能对事故后果进行定量分析并能核实已有安全措施有效性大小的特点,提出将两者集成,有利于取长补短,更好地实现风险评价和风险控制的目的。介绍了故障假设分析和保护层分析基本方法,阐述了两种方法集成的可行性、集成衔接关系、集成方法评价步骤以及集成方法的作用,并通过实例说明了集成方法的功能。结果表明:故障假设分析和保护层分析方法的集成,不仅能有效识别潜在风险事故,而且能对事故后果及已有安全措施的可靠性进行量化评估,以确定风险的可接受性和安全措施的有效性,进而达到确认是否需要增加新的安全措施的目的。

英文摘要:

The paper intends to present a new approach to integrating "What-if" and LOPA ( Layer of Protection Analysis) methods. Known as a systemic safety analysis method, "What-if" can creatively identi- fy the potential hazards and likely accidents in systems or projects by means of making fault hypotheses. However, it is not likely to make quantitative hazardous potentialities and likely effective preventative measures to get rid of such dangerous events, for which reason risk assessment and risk control remains by nature unpredictable and un- surable. It is also for this reason that motivates us to introduce the LOPA (Layer of Protection Analysis) as a kind of analysis method, which helps us to effectively quantify the hazards or accidents likely to be identified by "What-if" analysis. Thus, in this paper, we would like to introduce the two methods first of all in brief, and then present an idea on how to integrate the two methods so as for them to make each up for other' s deficiencies and better fulfill the goal of risk as- sessment. In doing so, we have to put our analysis based on their re- spective functions and features and try to find the feasibility for the two methods integration through differentiating the input-output rela- tions between the two methods. And, consequently, we would like to bring about the assessment steps for the integrated method and analyze the advantages of such integration. And, last of all, demonstrate how to use the integrated method to make an authentic risk assessment on the leakage accident of toxic liquid from a container due to overpres- sure. The scenario of leakage accident will be surely identified with the effectiveness of the three Independent Protection Layers (namely, RCV, ALM + MV, SV) and the potential leakage risks enough veri- fied. The results of the example illustrate that the suggested integrated method can effectively identify the potential hazards and accidents both quantitatively and qualitatively so as to determine the size and nature

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期刊信息
  • 《中国安全科学学报》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国科学技术协会
  • 主办单位:中国职业安全健康协会
  • 主编:徐德蜀
  • 地址:北京市东城区和平里九区甲4号安信大厦A306室
  • 邮编:100013
  • 邮箱:csstlp@263.net
  • 电话:010-64464782
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1003-3033
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-2865/X
  • 邮发代号:
  • 获奖情况:
  • 中国科技论文统计用刊,第一届中国科协期刊优秀学术论文奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),波兰哥白尼索引,美国剑桥科学文摘,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:31001