基于2008年3月~2016年3月全国23个省份面板数据,测算了省份之间、区域之间以及区域与全国之间生猪价格波动的同步系数,并据此分析了中国生猪价格的区域协动性及生猪价格波动的区域传导路径问题。结果表明,我国生猪价格区域同步系数较高是引起生猪价格剧烈波动的重要原因。其中,各区域与全国同步系数较高是引起生猪价格剧烈波动的直接原因,各区域之间同步系数较高是引起生猪价格剧烈波动的间接原因,各省份之间同步系数较高是引起生猪价格剧烈波动的微观原因。
Based on the 23 provincial panel data from March 2008 to March 2016, this paper measures inter-provincial and regional Region-to-China synchronous coefficient of hog price fluctuation, and analyzes the regional coordination and regional transmission path of hog price fluctuation. Higher regional and domestic synchronous data is the directed reason to cause pierce fluctuation in hog price, higher synchronous coefficient is the indirect reason, and provincial synchronous coeffi- cient is the microscopic reason.