中文摘要：

对3个典型的滑坡海啸强度的预测模型进行了介绍,并将其与海底边坡稳定性分析相结合,提出了滑坡海啸的预测方法.采用滑坡海啸预测方法计算了岙山原油码头潜在滑坡区滑坡海啸的强度,结果表明,若该地区发生滑坡,局部海岸将会产生波高为2～3 m的海啸,与当时观测到结果相吻合,因而该预测方法是具有一定准确性的较好预测海啸强度的方法.

英文摘要：

Landslide tsunami is a side product of submarine instability. The prediction of landslide tsunami is important because landslide tsunami would cause huge damages once it happened. By reviewing the former cases of submarine landslide tsunami and the current study situation, the paper gets a conclusion on how to judge a submarine landslide tsunami, introduces the representative mathematics models and gives the prediction method of landslide tsunami associating with slope stability analysis. By using this model, the paper makes a prediction to Aoshan wharf, and gets the conclusion that if there is a landslide there, the local coast will suffer a tsunami of 2-3 meters.