中文摘要：

以山东省为例，利用泥石流地区的岩性统计数据、植被覆盖率、降雨量，结合地质构造、人为因素等多种条件，开展泥石流发育强度的分区预测研究，将山东省划分为四个泥石流强度分区，对各分区所包含的地区及泥石流特征进行详细说明，以期为泥石流防治提供借鉴和参考。

英文摘要：

Taking Shandong province as an example, this paper uses the lithology statistics, vegetation coverage, rainfall, combines with geological structure, human factors and other conditions to carry out prediction study on the debris flow development intensity zoning and divide Shandong province into four debris flow intensity zones. In addition, these have guiding significance for forecasting the vulnerable area of regional geological disasters of debris flow.