以贸易引力模型为基础,通过构建旅游服务贸易出口的引力模型,可以分析外商直接投资(FDI)的旅游服务贸易出口创汇效应及其时空差异。研究发现:FDI与各要素对中国旅游贸易出口存在长期均衡的关系,FDI对旅游服务贸易出口创汇效应显著。经济发展水平、服务业发展水平、国际旅游接待水平、市场化进程是推动中国旅游服务贸易出口增长的重要力量,时间上FDI对旅游服务贸易出口创汇效应总体呈逐渐上升趋势。从区域层面来看,东部地区FDI对旅游服务贸易出口创汇效应显著,而中、西部地区效应不太显著。从省级层面来看,FDI越高的区域,旅游服务贸易出口创汇效应越明显,两者之间具有区域协调性。
This paper constructs the gravity model of the tourism service trade export, and studies the foreign exchange effect of FDI on the tourism service trade export and the space-time difference. Some results are obtained. First, from the national level, it is found that there is a long-term stable co-integration between FDI and tourism service trade exports. The foreign exchange effect of FDI on the tourism service trade export is significant. Second, from the regional level, the foreign exchange effect of FDI on the tourism service trade export is significant in eastern region, and is not significant in midland and in the western region. Third, from the provincial level, the higher the FDI in the region is, the better development of tourism service trade export is, and there is regional coordination between them.