中文摘要：

运用生态足迹分析法分析新疆2000-2008年生态足迹和生态承载力的变化轨迹,寻找新疆可持续发展的平衡点;并运用SPSS软件对新疆人均生态承载力、单位生态足迹产出和单位建设用地产出进行回归分析和趋势预测,在此基础上构建研究新疆可持续发展建设用地容纳能力的方法,通过预测得出2015、2020和2030年新疆建设用地面积应分别控制在262144.66hm^2,229049.18hm^2和201245.43hm^2以内。

英文摘要：

We analyzed the transformation of ecological footprints and eco-environment capacity of Xinjiang during 2000-2008 by using ecological footprint method,and found out equilibrium point of sustainable development.Moreover,the eco-environment capacity per capita and the output of ecological footprint and construction land of Xinjiang were analyzed and predicted by using SPSS software.Based on these,a method for calculating regional construction land capacity was set up.Result shows the construction land of Xinjiang in 2015,2020 and 2030 wouldn＇t be more than 262144.66hm^2,229049.18hm^2 and 201245.43hm^2 respectively.