以2013年春季中国大陆爆发的H7N9型禽流感疫情实际数据为例,在建立数学模型的基础上,通过最小二乘法、欧拉迭代法等定量分析与模拟,考察政府干预对该疫情的影响,所得数值结果反映了政府干预的必要性.
According to the actual data of H7N9 avian influenza in the spring of 2013 in Mainland China,a mathematic model is established,qualitative analysis and numerical simulations are given to consider the effect of government intervention on the outbreak of the avian influenza by the least square method and the Euler’s method.The results emphasize the importance of the government intervention.