舰艇编队协同防空环境判明的协同决策效果分析是军事组织决策研究的一项重要课题。通过理论与实验相结合的方法,分别从决策收益、决策质量和决策效率3个角度对舰艇编队的协同决策效果进行分析。首先,在概率意义下证明协同决策之损失不大于个体决策的损失;其次,基于广义熵理论,说明协同决策可靠性是诸个体决策可靠性的函数,并且可以保证其不低于个体决策可靠性;最后,通过仿真实验,验证了在一定条件下协同决策效率可以高于个体决策。
Analysis of Collaborative Decision-Making (CDM) effect in circumstaining ascertainment is one important task in military organization decision project. This paper analyzes effect of CDM with three perspectives-decision income, decision quality and decision efficiency. Firstly,the loss of CDM is less than that of Single Individual Decision-Making (SIDM) in the sense of probability. Secondly, it is proved that the reliability of CDM is higher than that of SIDM based on general entropy theories. Lastly, results of simulation experiments show that the efficiency of CDM surpasses the efficiency of SIDM.