中文摘要：

数据通信业务收入发展状况受多种不确定因素影响，其预测过程是一个复杂的非线性问题，采用传统预测方法难以逼近复杂的非线性映射关系，其预测误差大．为此根据神经网络的非线性特性，提出一种基于RBF神经网络的数据通信业务发展预测模型，对2006—2011年数据通信业务收入发展进行预测，与BP网络训练结果比较，其收敛速度快，训练精度高，具有较强的鲁棒性和容错性，应用效果显著．

英文摘要：

Data communication service income is influenced by many uncertain factors, its forcast process is a complex nonlinear problem, it is difficult to approach complex nonlinear mapping relation by traditional forcast method, and the forcast error is great. Therefore, according to nonlinear characteristic of neural network, a forecast model of data communication service income development based on RBF Neural Network is presented. It is applied in data communication service income forecast of 2006-2011, the result shows that it has faster convergence rate, higher training precision, stronger robustness, fault tolerance and more notable application effect than BP network.