中文摘要：

彩票悖论是当代逻辑哲学、科学哲学、形式知识论等领域研究工作的核心之一。对彩票悖论源发语境的考察,明确了彩票悖论是关于信念合理接受的知识论悖论。为了解决彩票悖论,哲学家们在逻辑和知识论等路径上提出了概率临界值、认识效用、融贯论和概率自毁集等诸多方案。这些方案的历史脉络表明,彩票悖论的研究趋向情境论,并在此基础上沿知识论路径提出了新的情境敏感方案。

英文摘要：

The lottery paradox is now central to recent philosophical work in philosophy of logic,philosophy of science and formal philosophy.Examining the original contexts in which lottery paradox was found,we can point out that lottery paradox is the epistemological paradox about rational acceptance.To resolve the paradox,philosophers have proposed many solutions from the perspective of logic and epistemology.These solutions show that the study on lottery paradox tends to be situation sensitive.Finally,a new situation-sensitive solution is discussed.