基于无标度网络的特点,提出了一类具有时滞特性的SIRS传播模型.首先利用平均场理论对疾病的传播行为进行了理论分析,得到了该传播模型的传播阈值,证明了疾病的爆发与消亡完全由传播阈值确定,讨论了拓扑结构、时滞、节点的迁入迁出对传播阈值的影响;然后选取相应的系统参数,对系统进行数值仿真,验证了所得的结论.
A SIRS epidemic model with time delay on scale-free networks was proposed. Based on the mean field theory, the spreading dynamics of the disease was analyzed and a spreading critical thresh- old was derived. Theoretical analyses indicate that the outbreak or demise of the disease is entirely de- termined by the threshold. Moreover, the impact of the topology of networks, time delay and nodes' immigration/emigration on the critical threshold was analyzed. Then numerical simulations were pres- ented to illustrate the results with the theoretical analysis.