利用2种高(低)潮序列统计了高(低)潮累积频率,一是从记录原点起算的高(低)潮序列I,一是从月平均海平面起算的高(低)潮序列II。可以发现:不同年份的高(低)潮序列I的累积频率10%(90%)对应的潮位之间存在明显的差异,这主要是由于不同年份月平均海平面变化之间的差异引起的。同时也发现:不同年份高(低)潮序列Ⅱ的累积频率lO%(90%)对应的潮位彼此比较一致,表明用不同年份的高(低)潮序列Ⅱ获得的结果在统计意义上是稳定的。为了得到安全稳定的设计高(低)水位,引人了月平均海平面特征极大(小)值。本文建议,设计高(低)水位取为月平均海平面特征极大(小)值与高(低)潮序列II累积频率10%(90%)对应的潮位之和。
Two kinds of high(low) tides series are used to calculate the cumulative frequencies of high (low) tides. The one is the high(low) tides series I reckoned from the origin of record, the other is the high(low) tides series II reckoned from the monthly mean-sea-levels. It is found that there exist considera- ble differences among those water levels corresponding to the cumulative frequency 10M(90~) of the dif- ferent years' high(low) tides series I, owing mainly to the differences among the different years' monthly mean-sea-levels. It is also found that those water levels corresponding to the cumulative frequency 10% (90%) of the different years~ high(low) tides series II are stable in a statistical sense. The characteristic maximum(minimum) of monthly mean-sea-levels is introduced in order to obtain a safe and stable high (low) design water level. In this paper, it is suggested that the high(low) design water level is taken to be the characteristic maximum(minimum) of monthly mean-sea-levels plus the water level corresponding to the cumulative frequency 10 % (90%) of the high(low) tides series II.